During that MC, he gained 2.96 strokes on approach, the 19th-best mark of anyone in the first two rounds. Sentry TOC: Cameron Young. The last time Zalatoris competed in this event, he placed 29th. It is impossible to keep up with all of the PGA Tours upcoming tournaments without our golf expert picks. Despite two disappointing finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles, McIlroy was still brilliant from tee-to-greenlosing over eight strokes with the putter during that stretch. In the last year, hes lost 0.24 strokes putting per round and has lost 0.09 per round in the short-game categories combined. Were always looking for courses which wont require the winner to breach 20 under, and Bay Hill certainly qualifies. Mitchell has proven to possess a few skills that will be very valuable at Southern Hills. With just one missed cut and two finishes outside the Top 30 in a total of 15 starts abroad. Over his past four seasons, Simpson has never gained less than 1.20 strokes per round for the campaign. The metrics are sour with no signs of them turning around. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's . Despite the negative flatstick, he still finished T-9 and T-14 in those events. LIV Golf star Peter Uihlein has revealed that he is 'much happier' playing on the breakaway circuit, after things didn't 'work out' over on the PGA Tour.. Uihlein has had a successful start to life as a LIV golfer, having secured three top-five finishes - including two runner-up spots - in 2022, whilst also finishing third in the season-long individual ranking. Hes historically one of the better short-game players on tour, gaining 0.71 strokes around-the-green and on the green over his past 100 rounds. All rights reserved. The PGA Tour will wrap up its 2021-22 season this week with the 2022 Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Ga. It's the final leg of the FedExCup Playoffs with just 30 players. He might not win this loaded event, but hes worth a look for some placement finishes at what is sure to be a good number. (There were only nine courses last year where strokes gained/around the green was more correlated to success, per my RickRunGood.com course regression model. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Cam Davis. And be sure to subscribe to "Be Right" wherever you get your podcasts! Pick To Win: Hideki Matsuyama ($9,200 DraftKings | $10,800 FanDuel). Due to the big field sizes and the four-day format, many longshots win or come close to victory on the tour. Something clearly clicked for him at Riviera, and this is the number to cash in on. Poston has sneakily been really good at this tournament with three Top 26 finishes in his last four starts. Hes been bleeding strokes back to the field the closer he gets to the green. Were getting value based on Rorys slow start on the West Coast, which was mainly short-game induced. The 4th elevated event on the PGA Tour schedule takes place this week with the star-studded 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Its a good idea to look for a player who has recently performed well or has a good record on the course in question. But, as Schauffele explained on Friday at Bay Hill, Kitayama lifts like one. Get the free Action Network app for expert picks, live odds, bet tracking and more. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+650, DraftKings) Can you stop taking the fun out of outright golf betting, Jon Rahm? And 44 of the top 50 players in the OWGR are playing this. High Upside: Patrick Cantlay ($9,100 DraftKings | $11,200 FanDuel). Hes one of the best iron players on the planet and is in the midst of the best putting year of his career. RSM Classic: Davis Riley. There are no weaknesses in his game, but perhaps this is a letdown spot and a chance for us to finally get some value on someone down the board (please)? But given how well hes played in 2022 from the tee to the green, a putter that works for him might be able to change that. Despite the trouble guarding so many of the greens at PGA Nationals Champion course, Kirk managed to hit 54 of 72 greens to rank T-7 for the week, while posting a strokes gained/approach mark of 7.643 strokes gained on the field to rank second. Hennessey: Keith Mitchell This is a bolder call, but I can afford to be a little bold after getting a win from Chris Kirk last week. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Mayakoba: Thomas Detry. This will be Ims eighth start in nine weeks, which is an unsustainable pace, and we already started to see the wheels come off last weekend at the Honda Classic. Mayo: Keith Mitchell (45-1, DraftKings) The number is just too high when you can keep scrolling past his name and find truly elite players who just happen to be in worse current form. Mitchells ball-striking should put him in the mix here, and I love the Bermuda putting splits. Golf betting online is a terrific way to spice up the big tournaments. He was T13 previously but now hes coming to the WM Phoenix Open where hes been nails and is a phenomenal overall fit with his polished all-around game. On top of that, hes doing it with accurate driving thats a little less than long but high-quality iron play, gaining 0.54 strokes per round on approach over his last 20 rounds. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. Hes dropped strokes to the field driving and on approach in consecutive events for the first time since earning his full tour card, but the long irons have continued to be much better than the field, and while distance is always going to be lacking, his accuracy continues to be elite. That continues a streak that started with Brandon Gdula correctly predicting Scottie Schefflers win at the WM Phoenix Open (13-1) and Rick Gehman hitting Jon Rahm at the Genesis Invitational (+750). He is one of our PGA tours picks this week. I expect the scale to tip back in McIlroys favor this week, who has never finished worse than 27th, with three top fives and a win in eight appearances at Bay Hill. For one thing, it's rather hilly, a rarity in Florida (although not in the Orlando market) and dotted with sinkhole ponds incorporated in the design in dramatic ways. About Us However, sometimes things happen beyond our control. 5 great reasons to put Bonville at the top of your list in 2023, Course flyover: The Western Australian Golf Club. He actually putts decent here, gaining more than five strokes to the field over the past two years. At these odds, I love for him to show up to a place hes comfortable at and get back to his DNA. LIV Golf Apparently Spent Over a Billion Dollars to Make Zero Dollars? 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. Everything with his game is clicking right now. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. RSM Classic: Brendon Todd. The second major of the season is upon us with million-dollar prizes up for grabs for DFS players on DraftKings and big money on FanDuel. Over the last five tournaments, he has averaged a score of -8. If you want to bet on golfers winning majors or perhaps the FedEx Cup and Race to Dubai outright, this is a great opportunity. Rules of Golf Review: How do I find my nearest point of relief? Usually. With the PGA picks this week, there could be a lot of drama on the leaderboard as well. Although Willy Z has been pretty brutal on the greens in his career, his lag putting has been notably good, and a great fit for the giant greens, while his short game remains quite underrated. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. Now its Rorys turn. Prior to that debacle, Bradley has five top-25 finishes in his previous seven startsincluding a win at the ZOZO Championship. Sam Burns ($9,100 DraftKings | $10,600 FanDuel). The rating, however, was a 0.23 because Golf Channel is in fewer homes than the CW Network. Gdula: Sungjae Im (-108) over Tyrrell Hatton (FanDuel) Both have played well at Bay Hill, and the long-term tee-to-green data favors Im, so thats where Im going. Russell Henley, who had a three-stroke lead going into the final round of last years tournament before a six-man playoff, lost it in dramatic fashion in the final round. The setup at Bay Hill will play similarly to PGA National, and if a few more putts fall and Young . RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field at the 2023 Genesis Invitational, Xander Schauffele ($9,900 DraftKings | $11,700 FanDuel). If you are the editor of Golf Digest, Heidi Klum, or one of the twelve people who read my work, you can reach me at brakesrshot@gmail.com. This is his third trip to the Wyndham, having finished second in his first three starts both of which were decided by playoffs. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our red-hot experts make a consensus bet, thanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion, create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National. ", New Zealands Top 50 Golf Courses 2019/20, Kurt Kitayama has trophy in reach again, Corey Conners loves his numbers, and Davis Riley has found some form, Tiger Woods isnt entered in Players Championship, so Masters is probably next, Rory McIlroy contends overseas players have brilliant chance to become PGA Tour elite, while others strongly disagree, 10 players who surprisingly have work to do to lock up spots in next years designated events, These answers by Jon Rahm after taking Bay Hill lead speak volumes about why hes the world No.1, Fred Perpall elected first Black president of USGA, Michael Murphy, the author of Golf In The Kingdom, ticks every box for hero, This standout college golfer finally has an LPGA tour card after three straight years of near misses, 6 tips from scratch golfers that will instantly make you a smarter player, New study reveals the harsh truth about 5-irons, The clubs Chris Kirk used to win the 2023 Honda Classic, Looking at Arnold Palmers best golf courses, 7 things course architects think about that you probably dont, WPGA Tour of Australasia (WPGA Tour) and the PGA of Australia extended partnership, 6 mistakes to avoid when planning your next womens golf trip. Hes made the cut in 10 straight starts and has four top-12 finishes. Jon Rahm, defending champion Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas, and many, many more will be ready to take on TPC Scottsdale this week in front of the always-raucous crowd. HyperFlex Carbon offers additional underfoot cushioning with an OrthoLite Impressions FitBed. CrazyTown, USA. Among the "contenders" (ranked 21-60), Max Homa is the current people's choice. Hes played this event four times and has yet to make the cut. World No. The majority of other prop wagers are either categorized as player or tournament props. The best thing about betting on golf is that there are so many ways to get involved. Now with football behind us, golf betting should be the focus for many. Lack: Hideki Matsuyama (66-1, BetMGM) This is a pure number play for me, as in my opinion, Hideki Matsuyama is a bonafide top-20 player in the world, despite the betting markets not treating him like one. Although his history at Bay Hill isnt extensive, he did finish T-24 here in 2020, his lone start. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. The all new HyperFlex Carbon shoe features a moulded carbon fibre power plate that delivers tour-level stability and performance. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to, High Upside: Max Homa ($8,100 DraftKings | $9,800 FanDuel). Michael Murphy is a hero to me in every sense of the word. You can bet on the outright winner. Safest Option: Matt Fitzpatrick ($7,900 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). You can use our analyses of our PGA expert picks to create your own selections based on your own evaluations of our PGA picks this week. There are many bookmakers that offer head-to-head matchup golf betting odds for every round of the tournament, as well as for the full event. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Being responsible about gambling means knowing whether to gamble, Over the past 36 rounds, Rahm is gaining a staggering 3.01 strokes per roundthe most in the field, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. The only thing that scares me about Justin Thomas is that his approach play in his most recent starts hasnt been up to his lofty standards. Genesis: Justin Thomas. WMPO: Collin Morikawa. Its always concerning when a golfer is so far from their DNA, and Hatton has also missed the cut in 13 of his 27 career major starts. Not great when the conditions may call for a grinder. When it comes to the largest tournaments, some bookmakers give up to 8 or 10 spots. Thats something Niemann thrived with during his win at Riviera earlier this year. The 2020-21 PGA Tour season ends with this week's Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Georgia. Matchup Results from the Honda Classic: Caddie: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+130) over Frittelli and O Hair, Round 1); Mayo: 1 for 1 (Meronk (+105) over C. Davis); Gehman: 1 for 1 (M.W. Here are my favorite plays and fades this week at the 2022 PGA Championship. Houston Open: Jason Day. At the Masters, he had the best result (T3). As was already mentioned, betting on nationality is a unique and exciting choice. If youve been reading this column over the past month or so, youve been cashing tickets. During that stretch, hes also gaining 0.22 strokes per round around the green, the fifth-best rate of anyone $9,000 or more. Note:All odds are courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Now, run-offs will propel missed approaches down embankmentswhich will really test recovery shots. That makes four top 15s worldwide in his past five startsall with gains off-the-tee and on approach. Online Gambling Golf PGA Picks This Week 2023: PGA Tour Expert Picks and Best Bets. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keegan Bradley (+650, Bet365) Keegan hasnt missed a cut at Bay Hill in his 10 most recent appearances at Bay Hill, which includes four finishes of 11th or better. Chris Kirk has quietly been hot with a T3 finish in each of his last two starts. Pat Mayo, DraftKings/Fantasy National, Mayo Media Network analyst: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) The concerns over Zalatoris health appear to be over after his immaculate ball-striking performance at The Genesis two weeks back. Brandon Gdula, managing editor and analyst for NumberFire, a FanDuel daily-fantasy analysis company, recently won the 2018 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy. Genesis: Justin Thomas. PGA Tour - Golf News, Scores, Stats, Standings, and Rumors - CBSSports.com T1 Adam Schenk -5 Thru 15 -5 T1 Cameron Young -5 Thru 10 -5 3 Aaron Rai -4 Thru 8 -4 T4 Thomas Detry -3 Thru 13 -3. Golf betting record in 2023 through Sony: 3-5-1, -1.274 units (0-2 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets) One-and-Done record in 2023: $333,387.22 (Cam Davis taken at Sony, $41,387.22) PGA Tour expert. He has eight top-25 finishes in his past nine starts with four top-10s. World Golf Rankings 2022 The American Express odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that's called 7 majors SportsLine's proven model simulated The American Express 2022. Caddie: Cameron Young (40-1, DraftKings) Cam Young is going to get his first win soon, and why not here? Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. The PGA picks this week present a good opportunity for Lowry to take advantage of his strong golf because there are fewer competitors. Our results with players at this years Hot List testing show that some players cant carry a 5-iron farther than they fly a 7-iron. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. Were burning another big name after whiffing of Fitzpatrick last week. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, PGA Championship 2022 DFS picks: A surprising fade and bold plays from our data scientist, significant restoration by Gil Hanse and his team a few years ago, Fans are freaking out over the beer (and water) prices at Southern Hills. Kim has the third-best odds behind Sungjae Im and Hideki Matsuyama but I love his fit here. His floor is very high right now, and he has two runner-up finishes in his past five trips to Riviera. 1. The PGA Tour stays in Florida this week with the 2022 Players Championship set to tee off on Thursday, March 10 at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Fla.. 'Golf's fifth major' will feature a. Hes also earned five top-15 finishes in 2022, so hes comfortable with his name in contention. Clark can check off all three of those boxes! Sportsbooks have Will Zalatoris, Shane Lowry, and Sungjae IM at the top of the betting board as the tour goes to Memphis next week for the FedEx St. Jude Championship. Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 props, odds, field: Expert head-to-head golf matchup picks, PGA best bets. The top 10, where the golfer is just one or two strokes away from winning, can be a predictor of future success. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, predictions, field, odds: Golf expert fading Justin Thomas at Bay Hill. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Hes one of the longest hitters on tour and has gained strokes around-the-green in five straight. Honda: Chris Kirk. For a second straight week we have an elevated field, and now with Will Zalatoris here we have 23 of the top 25 players in the worldits only fitting that the stars have shown out in Los Angeles. We try hard to make sure that the site is up to date at all times. Hopefully its one of his hot weeks. Hes not backing down. He has four top-25 finishes in his past five starts at the PGA Championship. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. In the past two weeks, Day has played greatjust one bad round prevented him from contending. Golf Digest - Stephen Hennessey 5h. Gdula: Tony Finau (+240, FanDuel) Its such a good field that even the top 10 will be hard for long shots to squeeze into with much success. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. Rookies, veterans, and journeymen all need good results at Sedgefield Country Club to ensure their place in the FedEx St, where the top 125 players will be announced next week at Jude Championship field in TPC Southwind. He's got 18.78 percent of the vote, followed by Will Zalatoris (15.66 percent) and Shane Lowry (15.46 percent). Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. Itll be great to see Tiger play this week but lets temper any expectations. RELATED: Our latest podcast explores the gambling revolution already hitting golf, Pick To Win: Billy Horschel ($7,400 DraftKings | $9,100 FanDuel). RELATED: The sportsbook at TPC Scottsdale looks like it's going to be incredible, Most Likely To Disappoint: Tyrrell Hatton ($8,100 DraftKings | $9,900 FanDuel). His best finish is a T-35 at the Masters, and his metrics are so far from what we would expect. Matsuyama has battled injury this year, but when hes played he has played well. Hes a big hitter with an all-around game. American Express: Brian Harman. He is statistically among the top 15 golfers in terms of strokes gained on, off, and tee-to-green gains (seventeenth-best) due to his high percentage of green-in-regulation hits (69.83 percent). Lowry has a good chance, based on the PGA expert picks this week, to capitalize on his strong play with a victory. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Morikawa, who came close for me at both Torrey and Riviera. In general, we provide our Free sports picks today on time, giving you plenty of time to digest our research and get the best golf odds on our PGA picks this week. Outside of those events, Cantlay has been stellar. At the same time, though, JT hasnt finished outside of the Top 20 at TPC Scottsdale in each of the last five years and has been Top 10 three times and Top 5 twice in that stretch. Poston (+8500). World No. With its 18th green at the base of a natural amphitheater, and its primary rough consisting of club-grabbing Kikuyu, Riviera seems tailor-made as a tournament venue. Farmers: Jason Day. He hasnt had much major success, but the PGA Championship has been his best, making the cut in eight of nine starts. The short par-70 course proved to be a success for Kevin Kisner. High Upside: Kevin Na ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,200 FanDuel). His putter has also been great, beating the field in that category in eight of his past nine. Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. If you thought last weeks elevated event was big, itll be basically the same field at a major-championship caliber golf course, all while injecting Tiger Woods into the field! It appears that IM has found his form again after stuttering on his journey to Scotland following his backdoor runner-up finish at the 3M Open. Farmers: Will Zalatoris. Hes never played API, but hes been especially potent on Bermudagrass in his short career. Hes clearly building toward a win with three top-six finishes in four starts in 2023, and if his short game continues to look like it did at the Genesis, that win is coming very soon.
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